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Morain

03/14/24

3/14/2024

Two events within a few months of each other 75 years ago forever altered the political and military landscape of the world. Their combined effects play an all-powerful role in today’s diplomatic chess game.

On April 4, 1949, in Washington, DC, 12 Western nations signed the North Atlantic Treaty to create the Organization by that name, abbreviated to NATO. The signatories were the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, France, the Netherlands, Belgium, Luxemburg, Portugal, Italy, Norway, Denmark, and Iceland. 

Over the next 75 years NATO’s membership expanded eastward through Europe to include today’s 32 nations, with Sweden’s signature affixed just last Thursday, March 7.

While a mutual desire to mitigate against the resurgence of aggressive militarism within European powers served as one driver of NATO’s birth, the major factor was the West’s determination to counter Soviet expansionist dreams. 

The USSR the previous year, in 1948, had provided the impetus to overthrow Czechoslovakia’s newly elected democratic regime and install a Communist one. That year the Soviets also blockaded West Berlin in an attempt to consolidate power throughout East Germany. 

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The need for a powerful Western response was evident. The 1949 creation of NATO provided what was necessary, in order to prevent further Soviet aggression. Although the USSR hadn’t yet undertaken military or political action against any of the 12 NATO members, the treaty’s Article 5 left no doubt what would happen in that eventuality:

“An armed attack against one or more of them . . . shall be considered an attack against them all.” The message was clear: the Soviet Union, or any other aggressor, would risk facing the combined military strength of all the NATO nations if it chose to move against any of them.

Then a few months after the creation of NATO occurred the second key event of 1949. The importance of solidarity among Western nations suddenly sharpened, when on August 29 the Soviet Union successfully detonated an atomic bomb in a test in Kazakhstan. The West no longer held a monopoly on nuclear weaponry. 

The Soviet test galvanized NATO into creating an active and fully staffed military headquarters in France (later moved to Belgium), with the development of contingency plans in case the Soviets decided to flex their muscles against a NATO member.

For more than 50 years no entity—the Soviet Union or anyone else—tried to do so. NATO took action in several non-member theaters, like Bosnia and Kosovo, but NATO nations themselves remained free from attack. NATO and the Soviet Union—with its own NATO-like alliance, the Warsaw Pact—gradually worked out methodologies to avoid mutual destruction.

After the collapse of the USSR in the early 1990s, NATO continued to strengthen its alliance with the addition of more signatories to the agreement and further cooperation in non-military arrangements among its member nations. 

But in 2001 NATO invoked Article 5 for the first time, in what could surely not have been predicted in 1949: the September 11 Al-Qaeda destruction of the World Trade Center in New York City. The United States had become the first NATO nation to suffer a direct attack since the founding of the alliance.

NATO immediately responded. Military troops from a coalition of NATO nations converged on Afghanistan, where Al-Qaeda’s leaders made their headquarters, deposed the Afghan Taliban government that allowed Al-Qaeda to operate there, and empowered a government favorable to the West. NATO continued its degradation of Al-Qaeda’s capacity thereafter.

NATO has continued to respond to threats and action in non-NATO countries in the 21st Century, where NATO has determined that aggression there constitutes a potential threat to stability and safety among its members.

In the last few years, however, isolationist movements in some NATO nations, including the United States, have questioned the reasons for NATO’s existence. Those sentiments target particularly the advisability of guaranteeing the security of NATO members that share a border with Russia. 

Leaders with a longer memory, or a clearer understanding of 20th Century history, recall what happened in Europe in the 1930s, when fascist authoritarians set out to conquer their democratic neighbors. Western democracies, including the United States, stood by, or even worse, signed agreements with the aggressors in the hope that they would be satisfied with smaller chunks of conquest.

That didn’t happen, of course, and the aggressors systematically gobbled up most of Europe before military resistance, mostly from the United States, the United Kingdom, and the Soviet Union, was able at great cost to push back Nazi Germany and finally achieve total victory. 

After the war NATO’s founder nations, all too aware of the results of inaction and appeasement, were determined not to let that happen again. When Russia invaded Ukraine two years ago, they provided billions of dollars’ worth of armaments to help Ukraine defend itself and begin to roll back the Russian armies.

But in the last two years that commitment has come to be tested, especially in the United States, where some political leaders claim it’s not our business what happens to Ukraine, and that our domestic challenges preclude continuing our military assistance to that nation.

Our NATO allies are concerned, and they should be. Ending our commitment to Ukraine could end the assurance that NATO will come to our aid in an emergency, the way they did after September 11. More likely, NATO’s European members will go their own way on mutual defense issues, leaving us to fend for ourselves around the world.

The planet is no longer a place where we can pull all the strings. We need allies these days. It’s shortsighted to alienate those on whom we’ve counted for 75 years.

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