Could Grassley Lose? Yes. Is Frew a ‘savior?’ Yes.
Chuck Grassley is in trouble. Here’s why he could lose his bid for a sixth term in the Senate:
First, he will have a strong opponent. It’s becoming clear that Roxanne Conlin will run against him, a possibility first reported here six weeks ago. She’s smart, she’s glib, she’s rich, she’s experienced. She has long bemoaned the fact that Iowa has never sent a woman to Washington — which will add zest to her quest.
Second, he is wearing out his welcome. Grassley was first elected to the Iowa House of Representatives in 1959, and he has been in elective office continuously for 50 years — in the Legislature, the House of Representatives and, since 1980, the United States Senate. He has always been immensely popular, for reasons that confound Democratic pros who say he’s far more conservative than Iowa voters realize. (By one measure, he’s the 11th most conservative Senator.) His first election to the U.S. House in 1974 was close — he got just 50.8 percent of the vote in beating Steve Rapp — but it’s been a walk ever since. In 1980, he handily unseated Democratic Senator John Culver with 53.5 percent of the vote, and he got at least 66 percent of the vote in his next four elections to the Senate. Six years ago, he was re-elected with 70.1 percent of the votes. But his approval rating is plummeting. A new SurveyUSA poll, taken last week, put his approval rating at just 50 percent and his disapproval rating at 40 percent. That’s shocking. At the beginning of the year, the numbers were 71 and 22. The Des Moines Register’s Iowa Poll shows a similar trend. His decline has accelerated in the past few months as he has been in the national news because of his role in the health-care debate and as he has blurted out things that range from the wacky to the bizarre... Read More>>